Washington, D.C. – US Secretary of State Antony Blinken has develop into the newest US authorities official to warn Israel that it can not “reoccupy” Gaza after the conflict with Hamas, in response to latest feedback from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

Netanyahu raised considerations this week after suggesting that the Israeli military might management safety in Gaza “indefinitely” if preventing within the besieged Palestinian enclave ends.

Israeli officers have since stated Netanyahu didn’t imply Israel plans to take administrative management of the Gaza Strip, however the nation’s intentions stay unclear amid conflicting statements from senior authorities leaders, together with Protection Minister Yoav Gallant.

Talking to reporters in Japan on the sidelines of a G7 assembly on Wednesday, Blinken stated that “the one method to make sure this disaster by no means occurs once more is to begin creating the situations for lasting peace and safety,” together with “no reoccupation of Gaza after the battle ends.”

The Israeli authorities has claimed that the occupation of Gaza led to 2005, when it withdrew forces and settlers from the enclave. However that place has been described by Israeli rights group B’Tselem as “fully unfounded” and rejected by worldwide legislation consultants.

Right here, Al Jazeera speaks to Michael Lynk, who till final 12 months was the United Nations Particular Rapporteur on the state of affairs of human rights within the occupied Palestinian territories, about latest discussions surrounding the Israeli occupation of Gaza and what would possibly occur after the conflict is over.

Al Jazeera: The US has stated it opposes Israel’s “reoccupation” of Gaza. However did the Israeli occupation of Gaza ever finish?

Michael Lynk: A number of years in the past, a remark was made on CBC Radio in Canada stating that Gaza was not occupied. I and one other group (Canadians for Justice and Peace within the Center East) every despatched letters saying that Gaza stays successfully occupied.

The take a look at in worldwide legislation is: is there a navy train – the time period is ‘efficient management’ – over the nation or territory?

It is just like the guards depart the jail, however they take all of the keys with them; They nonetheless monitor how a lot meals goes into the jail every single day and the way a lot electrical energy goes into the jail every single day. The individuals in jail are free to roam wherever they please throughout the confines of the jail, however don’t have any approach to depart – that may be “efficient management” of the jail.

This is identical method Israel workout routines efficient management over who and what leaves Gaza and who and what enters Gaza.

AJ: What significance does it have for the US to make use of the time period “reoccupation”?

Clutch: I believe that the US doesn’t take the place that Gaza is occupied. I do not know in the event that they also have a coherent place on what the standing of Gaza is now. They in all probability accepted that Israel, by leaving Gaza in 2005, formally ended that occupation.

In reality, it is vitally troublesome to seek out any assertion from any latest Republican or Democratic administration utilizing the phrase “occupation” to explain any a part of Palestine on this topic.

So I believe I perceive why they use the phrase “reoccupy”, within the sense that they’re speaking about Israeli forces holding energy in Gaza and exercising navy authority when the present state of affairs arises. [fighting] involves an finish.

However like I stated, it is not reoccupation – it is occupation in a brand new type.

Al Jazeera: What variations can we see between the US and Israel of their views on what occurs after the conflict in Gaza?

Clutch: What we’ve got is an ongoing tactical debate between the US and Israel about what Gaza would appear to be instantly after hostilities finish.

Israel says they are going to in all probability have to remain in Gaza for a while. And that is in all probability as a result of they need to completely destroy every little thing they’ll discover associated to Hamas’s navy presence.

Given Blinken’s tour of components of the Arab world over the previous week, he acknowledges the extreme strain coming from the South on the whole, and particularly over what Gaza would appear to be subsequent, and acknowledges that any type of continued Israeli presence in Gaza is a non-starter.

Remember that there are usually not solely requires the reoccupation of Gaza inside Israel, but in addition (amongst some far-right Israeli lawmakers for) the resettlement of settlers in Gaza. That is an argument you would possibly hear within the far-right settler motion.

Nevertheless, I believe that there are every kind of voices throughout the Israeli navy and Israeli navy intelligence that say this can be a non-starter.

Al Jazeera: What comes subsequent when it comes to the Israeli occupation and the way forward for Gaza?

Clutch: There are a number of prospects.

Considered one of them, which I believe must be one of many lowest choices, is for Israel to stay contained inside Gaza and rule the nation by way of direct navy rule for the foreseeable future.

I believe that has little or no likelihood of success, partly as a result of I believe Israeli troopers would in all probability pay a excessive value, as they did in sustaining their occupation in Lebanon from the Nineteen Eighties by way of the Nineteen Nineties.

A second possibility, which I believe is what the US would favor – and you’ll in all probability discover assist from international locations within the World North – is for there to be a world authorities, led by the Arab world, led by the United Nations, or a mixture thereof, with worldwide troops on the bottom, there could be a world fund for the reconstruction of Gaza.

And there could be, I believe, a severe effort to attempt to construct the executive capability to supply primary providers in Gaza, as any nationwide or municipal authorities would finally do.

And that may, I believe, embody a plan for the Palestinian Authority to take energy in some unspecified time in the future.

Al Jazeera: Might there be a path to the top of the Israeli occupation?

Clutch: If the Palestinian Authority needs to enter, they must make a troublesome political selection themselves.

Are they only coming to supply stability and, in the event you like, handle Gaza, or is that this really a primary step in direction of an impartial Palestinian state? And I’d be fairly positive that the Palestinian Authority would insist that they’d not need to take over the administration of Gaza.

I believe there could be nice reluctance to be seen as somebody who is available in and guidelines and takes over the administration of Gaza on the again of Israeli bayonets. They need a assured prelude to the top of the occupation of East Jerusalem and the West Financial institution.

And the difficulty with that’s… if the Biden administration does not have the political energy to power Israel into humanitarian pauses, not to mention a ceasefire, what hope is there for the US utilizing political capital to To power Israel – in American elections? – to make the substantive agreements essential to create an impartial Palestinian state that’s contiguous, the place the settlements have ended and the place the Palestinian capital is situated in East Jerusalem?

I believe the prospect of that’s lower than zero.

This interview has been edited for size and readability.

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